In the first of the coming ‘ber months, two to three storms will enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this September 2021, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Administration (PAGASA) said in its latest report on the country’s climate.
The next two months – October and November – will also have anywhere between two to three tropical cyclones within the PAR, with one to two forecast for December, the Climate Outlook for the period September 2021 to February 2022 stated.
According to its monthly rainfall forecast, precipitation for Catanduanes this September will be 300 to 400 millimeters, 400 to 500 mm by October, and, above 500 mm by November and December.
The weather agency, however, predicted above average monthly mean temperatures in the island for the next four months.
PAGASA also reported that two to three tropical cyclones are expected to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility next month and it would be the trend until November. One to two tropical cyclones are expected by December.
Forecast tracks will tend to cross Southern Luzon, including the Bicol region, in October and November, the report said.
La Niña, which is associated with reduced cyclone formation in the Western Pacific, is more likely to start this October to December season but will not persist long enough to constitute a La Niña event, PAGASA bared.
Meanwhile, rainfall for the last three months in the island province has increased, records of the PAGASA Virac Synoptic Station showed.
Officer-in-charge Juan Pantino Jr. said that from the 198.8 mm total rainfall in June 2021, the precipitation for July reached 329.9 mm or an increase of 66 percent.
As of Aug. 27, rainfall for the month has totaled 287 mm, with the 73.2 mm heavy downpour on Aug. 20 causing slight flooding in the capital town of Virac.
- Sunday, May 28, 2023