Between two to three tropical cyclones are expected to enter or develop in the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this November 2022, with one or two more seen to form next month.
This was forecast by the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Administration (PAGASA) in its latest Climate Outlook.
Most of the cyclones, based on actual tracks from 1948 to 2016, would make landfall in the lower half of the archipelago from Southern Luzon to the Central Visayas.
The report, presented during the 153rd Climate Forum last Oct. 26, 2022, also predicted that the first four months of 2023 would also see a maximum of one cyclone developing or entering the PAR each month.
Rainfall in Catanduanes would be above normal for the next four months, with below normal precipitation predicted for March and April.
PAGASA stated that the island province will have the following dry days per month: November (11), December (12), January (16), February (16), March (17) and April (19).